Your search for Subject hierarchical bayesian change point modelsresulted in 55 records.
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- Title: Skisim - A Tool to Assess the Impact of Climate Change on Ski Season Length and Snowmaking
- Date: 2009
- Authors: Robert Steiger
- Description: A semi-distributed ski season simulation model (“SkiSimâ€) was developed to analyze potential impacts of climate change on ski season lengt...
- Object ID: issw-2009-0239-0243.pdf
- Keywords: climate change, snowmaking, ski tourism, austria
- View additional details about Skisim - A Tool to Assess the Impact of Climate Change on Ski Season Length and Snowmaking
- Title: Finite Element Models and Sensitivity Analysis of the Vulnerability of an Avalanche Protection Gallery
- Date: 2009
- Authors: Dominique Daudon, Julien Baroth, Patrycja Szczurowska, Ma Ying, Pascal Perrotin
- Description: Our research work has focused on the Montaulever avalanche protection gallery.
Horizontal and vertical structural elements are modelled herein using ...
- Object ID: issw-2009-0587-0591.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche protection gallery, finite element model, probabilistic sensitivity study
- View additional details about Finite Element Models and Sensitivity Analysis of the Vulnerability of an Avalanche Protection Gallery
- Title: Energy Dissipation Studies on Model Control Structures Using an Avalanche Chute
- Date: 2006
- Authors: Ansar Hamid Sheikh, Satish Chandra Verma, Amod Kumar
- Description: Design of avalanche control structures in middle and runout zones of an avalanche
requires a careful study of the flow-structure and its interaction ...
- Object ID: issw-2006-219-227.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche-like flows, dynamic similarity, froude number, large, scale snow experiments, energy dissipation ratio
- View additional details about Energy Dissipation Studies on Model Control Structures Using an Avalanche Chute
- Title: The French Nivological Workstation an Integrated Software for Regional Snow Data Analysis
- Date: 2006
- Authors: J.L Dumas, Y. Danielou, C. Gendre, G. Giraud, E. Pougatch
- Description: For more than 20 years, the CEN (Snow Study Centre) has been developing
operational software for snow data analysis including models for avalanche ha...
- Object ID: issw-2006-624-627.pdf
- Keywords: nivological workstation, modeling, operational forecast
- View additional details about The French Nivological Workstation an Integrated Software for Regional Snow Data Analysis
- Title: Climate Change in Western Ski Areas: Timing of Wet Avalanches in Aspen Ski Area in the Years 2030 and 2100
- Date: 2006
- Authors: Brian Lazar, Mark Williams
- Description: We evaluate how climate change resulting from increased greenhouse gas emissions may affect the timing of wet avalanches at Aspen Mountain in the year...
- Object ID: issw-2006-899-906.pdf
- Keywords: climate change, wet avalanches, aspen, ski areas, gcm
- View additional details about Climate Change in Western Ski Areas: Timing of Wet Avalanches in Aspen Ski Area in the Years 2030 and 2100
- Title: Measurements of Snow Strain Combined with Finite Element Simulations
- Date: 2004
- Authors: J.A. Gleason, H.P. Marshall
- Description: The rheological properties of snow are not well understood, however accurate
constitutive relationships are necessary for various fields including ve...
- Object ID: issw-2004-050.pdf
- Keywords: strain, simulation, band load, vehicular movement
- View additional details about Measurements of Snow Strain Combined with Finite Element Simulations
- Title: A Simple Model of Snow Slope Stability During Storms
- Date: 2004
- Authors: P. Hayes, C. Wilbour, R. Gibson, H.P. Marshall, H. Conway
- Description: Snow slope stability is controlled by the geometry of the start zone and the mechanical properties of the snow pack. Here we report progress toward de...
- Object ID: issw-2004-165-171.pdf
- Keywords: snow slope stability, avalanches, modeling
- View additional details about A Simple Model of Snow Slope Stability During Storms
- Title: March Wet Avalanche Prediction at Bridger Bowl Ski Area, Montana
- Date: 2004
- Authors: J. M. Romig, S. G. Custer, K. Birkeland, W. W. Locke
- Description: Few avalanche forecast models are tailored specifically for wet avalanche forecasting. Bridger Bowl (intermountain climate) is a good area to develop ...
- Object ID: issw-2004-598-607.pdf
- Keywords: wet snow, avalanche, probability, forecast, model
- View additional details about March Wet Avalanche Prediction at Bridger Bowl Ski Area, Montana
- Title: Graphical Representation of Ski Area Avalanche Control Results
- Date: 2004
- Authors: Dan Moroz, Ron Simenhois
- Description: Traditional methods of recording avalanche control methods and results have not
advanced as fast as today’s technology at hand. Data recording...
- Object ID: issw-2004-675-680.pdf
- Keywords: adobe, control methods, technology, data recording
- View additional details about Graphical Representation of Ski Area Avalanche Control Results
- Title: Cornice - Development of a Nearest Neighbours Model Applied in Backcountry Avalanche Forecasting in Scotland
- Date: 2002
- Authors: Ross Purves, Keith Morrison, Graham Moss, Blyth Wright
- Description: This paper describes the development and refinement of a nearest neighbors avalanche forecasting model in Scotland. Avalanche forecasting in Scotland ...
- Object ID: issw-2002-117-122.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche forecasting, avalanches, computer models
- View additional details about Cornice - Development of a Nearest Neighbours Model Applied in Backcountry Avalanche Forecasting in Scotland
- Title: Estimating the Strength of Faceted Snow Layers for an Avalanche Forecasting Model
- Date: 2002
- Authors: Antonia Zeidler, Bruce Jamiesona
- Description: Current multivariate forecasting models make limited use of stability indices partly because the required manual measurements of snowpack properties a...
- Object ID: issw-2002-130-137.pdf
- Keywords: snow stratigraphy, snow properties, snow strength, avalanche forecasting, slab avalanches, snow crystals
- View additional details about Estimating the Strength of Faceted Snow Layers for an Avalanche Forecasting Model
- Title: SnowMIP - An Intercomparison of Snow Models: First Results
- Date: 2002
- Authors: P. Etchevers, E. Martin, R. Brown, C. Fierz, Y. Lejeune, E. Bazile, A. Boone, Y.J. Dai, R. Essery, A. Fernandez, Y. Gusev, R. Jordan, V. Koren, E. Kowalczyk, R.D. Pyles, A. Schlosser, A.B. Shmakin, T.G. Smirnova, U. Strasser, D. Verseghy, T. Yamazaki, Z.L. Yang
- Description: Many snow models are now used for various applications such as hydrology, global circulation models, snow monitoring, snow physics research and avalan...
- Object ID: issw-2002-353-360.pdf
- Keywords: snow simulation, model intercomparison, snowmip
- View additional details about SnowMIP - An Intercomparison of Snow Models: First Results
- Title: Modeling and Measuring Snow for Assessing Climate Change Impacts in Glacier National Park, Montana
- Date: 2002
- Authors: Daniel B. Fagre, David Selkowitz, Blase Reardon, Karen Holzer, Lisa McKeon
- Description: A 12-year program of global change research at Glacier National Park by the U.S. Geological Survey and numerous collaborators has made progress in qua...
- Object ID: issw-2002-417-424.pdf
- Keywords: snow depth, snow water equivalent, variability, pacific decadal oscillation, modeling
- View additional details about Modeling and Measuring Snow for Assessing Climate Change Impacts in Glacier National Park, Montana
- Title: Verification of High-Resolution Numerical Weather Models with Regard to Avalanche Forecasting
- Date: 2000
- Authors: Claudia Roeger, David McClung, Roland Stull, Josh Hacker, Henryk Modzelewski
- Description: Meteorological factors are of major importance in avalanche forecasting. For regional
(office-based) avalanche hazard evaluation, high-quality meteor...
- Object ID: issw-2000-074-077.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche forecasting, high-resolution numerical weather prediction, weather forecast verification
- View additional details about Verification of High-Resolution Numerical Weather Models with Regard to Avalanche Forecasting
- Title: An Experience of Avalanche Diagnostic and Forecast Models Verification
- Date: 2000
- Authors: Pavel Chernouss
- Description: Verification of several types of avalanche occurrence diagnostic and forecast models
used by the Centre of Avalanche Safety in the Khibiny Mountains ...
- Object ID: issw-2000-081-085.pdf
- Keywords: forecast, model, safety, predictors, snowdrift
- View additional details about An Experience of Avalanche Diagnostic and Forecast Models Verification
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