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Your search for Subject hierarchical bayesian change point modelsresulted in 55 records.

Title: Longyearbyen, Svalbard - Vulnerability and Risk Management of an Arctic Settlement Under Changing Climate - a Challenge to Authorities and Experts
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Erik Hestnes, Steinar Bakkehøi, Christian Jaedicke
Description: Longyearbyen, the administrative centre of the Svalbard archipelago, is facing most types of natural hazards under a changing Arctic climate. The cata...
Object ID: ISSW16_O16.02.pdf
Keywords: arctic environment, climate change, natural hazards, mitigation, research, consulting
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Title: Lessons from Nuclear Energy: Building Snow and Avalanche Simulation Tools using a Common Open-Source Framework
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Andrew E. Slaughter, Derek R. Gaston, Cody J. Permann, John W. Peterson, David Andrš, Jason M. Miller, Brain K. Alger, Richard C. Martineau
Description: The Department of Energy (DOE) is currently investing millions of dollars annually into various modeling and simulation tools for all aspects of nucle...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.44.pdf
Keywords: modeling, open-source, simulation
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Title: Deriving Mean Snow Depth in Complex Terrain From Flat Field Measurements
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Nora Helbig, Alec van Herwijnen, Tobias Jonas
Description: Snow depth is an important parameter for various applications, including hydrological and avalanche forecasting. Various measurement networks were the...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.46.pdf
Keywords: mean snow depth, avalanche forecasting, meteorological models, subgrid parameterization
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Title: What Do We Know About the Impact on the Snowpack in a Changing Climate – a Work in Progress
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Antonia Zeidler, Elena Stoll
Description: This contributions aims at giving an overview of studies on the impact of a changing climate on the snowpack and avalanche activity. Most studies on c...
Object ID: ISSW16_P3.08.pdf
Keywords: climate change, avalanches, statistical methods
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Title: Climate Change Impacts on Utah's Central Wasatch Snowpacks
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Rand Decker, Hugo Froyland
Description: Climate change has resulted in winters that are much different than in previous decades. For the better part of 20 years, the central and southern Roc...
Object ID: ISSW16_P3.09.pdf
Keywords: snowpack distribution, climate change, snowmelt, drought
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Title: Decrease of Snow Avalanches Activity and Proliferation of Wet Snow Avalanches in French Alps Under Climate Warming
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Mohamed Naaim, Nicolas Eckert
Description: The processing of the data, including cross analysis, of two well documented databases of snow and avalanches in France Alps (namely EPA avalanches ch...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.36.pdf
Keywords: snow avalanche, climate change, natural hazard, risk
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Title: Identification of Slushflow Situations from Regional Weather Models
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Christian Jaedicke, Oyvind Armand Hoydal, Knut Helge Midtbo
Description: Slushflows are known phenomena that cause significant problems for settlements and infrastructure in Norway. Even though single events in the same loc...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-05.pdf
Keywords: slushflow, avalanche warning, weather models, forecasting
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Title: Impact of Climate Versus Land-Use Changes on Snow Cover in Bassiès, Pyrenees
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Camille Szczypta, Simon Gascoin, Thomas Houet, Pascal Fanise
Description: In the context of the global change, the Pyrenees mountains represent a real scientific and environmental challenge. They will probably be affected by...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-22.pdf
Keywords: global change, snow cover, vegetation, pyrenees
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Title: Recent Changes in Avalanche Activity in the French Alps and Their Links With Climatic Drivers: An Overview
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Nicolas Eckert, Aurore Lavigne, Hélène Castebrunet, Gérald Giraud, Mohamed Naaim
Description: This paper synthetizes our ongoing work on relations between natural avalanche activity and climate change in the French Alps and subregions. Firm res...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O5-25.pdf
Keywords: avalanche activity, climate change, time trends, french alps
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Title: Le Sappeyen Chartreuse Ski Resort: How it is Managed and How to Take into Account Climate Change?
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Hubert Gallée, Antoine Kévorkian, Thierry Grenet, Pascale Huyghe
Description: The Sappey-en-Chartreuse is situated in the Chartreuse mountains, in the French Alps. The low elevation ski resort spans a range of 1000 to 1300 m a.s...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O5-26.pdf
Keywords: ski resort, french alps, snow cover
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Title: The ‘Optimal Skiing Day’: The Future of Ski Resorts Under Climate Change Conditions
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Prof. Dr. Jürgen Schmude
Description: The purpose of this presentation is to implement and apply a model permitting to identify and assess the most economical days of a skiing season in or...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O5-27.pdf
Keywords: climate change, skiing tourism, profitability, modeling, christmas-easter-shift
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Title: Avalanche Protection Dam of Cialancier in Saint Etienne de Tinée : From 2D Digital Modeling to the Start of the Onsite Work
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Vincent SEGEL, Mathieu SCHMITT, Edith Michel Villaz, Thierry EME, Stéphane ROUDNITSKA, Mohamed NAAIM
Description: On 16 December 2008 at 11.15 am, a large scale avalanche started in the upper watershed of the Fougeret couloir and ended its course in the hamlet of ...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P1-68.pdf
Keywords: avalanche protection, modeling, work
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Title: Use of RHYTMME Radar Images Including X Band Data, to Improve Hourly Disaggregation of SAFRAN Daily Precipitation Analyse - Application on Mercantour and Haut-Var/Haut-Verdon
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Mérindol Laurent, Durand Yves, Fradon Béatrice, Tzanos Renaud, Westrelin Samuel
Description: In the framework of RHYTMME project, a X Band weather radar network is currently being installed in the French southern Alps. Three X Band polarimetr...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P2-08.pdf
Keywords: radar, x-band, precipitation analysis, hourly disaggregation
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Title: Climate Change: A New Software to Study the Variations of Snow Images Shot by Web Cam
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Mauro Valt, Rosamaria Salvatori, Paolo Plini, Roberto Salzano, Marco Giusto, Mauro Montagnoli
Description: The seasonal Snow cover and its extension play a relevant role for environmental studies in mountain areas especially considering its variation during...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P2-16.pdf
Keywords: snow cover monitoring, climate change, digital images, software, alps, apennines
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Title: A New Application for Quick Boundary Limits of Avalanche Events: Procedure and First Validation
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Bornaz L., Durand N., Frigo B., Dellavedova P., Segor V.
Description: In the framework of MAP3 ALCOTRA project, a 3D mapping tool is under developing to rapidly take the avalanche census and implement the regional Cadast...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P2-34.pdf
Keywords: avalanche census, solid image, avalanche cadastre, zoning
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