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Your search for Subject "avalanche prediction "resulted in 14 records.

Title: Stochastic Methods in Operational Avalanche Simulation - From Back Calculation to Prediction
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Valentin Hellweger, Jan-Thomas Fischer, Andreas Kofler, Andreas Huber, Wolfgang Fellin, Michael Oberguggenberger
Description: Avalanche simulations are an integral part of hazard assessment. Determining the potential hazard requires a multidisciplinary approach, including dif...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.50.pdf
Keywords: avalanche dynamics, parameter estimation, stochastic simulation, bayes’ theorem, metropolis-hastings algorithm, posterior distribution, back calculation, prediction
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Title: SNOWGRID – A New Operational Snow Cover Model in Austria
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Marc Olefs, Wolfgang Schöner, Martin Suklitsch, Christoph Wittmann, Bernd Niedermoser, Alfred Neururer, Arnulf Wurzer
Description: We present first results of the newly developed, physically-based and spatially distributed snow cover model SNOWGRID. The model is driven with gridde...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-07.pdf
Keywords: snow cover model, climate services, avalanche warning, inca, nowcasting, numerical weather prediction
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Title: Understanding the "True" Predictive Power of Statistical Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Jordy Hendrikx, Matt Murphy
Description: Statistical avalanche forecasting tools using meteorological and snowpack predictors have been developed in many different snow avalanche environment...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-09.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, statistical forecasting, classification trees
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Title: 40 Years of NGI’s Full-Scale Avalanche Test-Site Ryggfonn
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Peter Gauer, Krister Kristensen
Description: The Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) has been running full-scale avalanche experiments at the Ryggfonn test-site in western Norway for close to ...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-35.pdf
Keywords: avalanche, test-site, full-scale experiments
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Title: On Indicator Path Avalanches for Local Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2012
Authors: Jürg Schweizer, Claudia Alig, Christoph Mitterer
Description: Avalanches are clear signs of instability and thus often considered as the best predictor for further events. In fact, avalanches that release at the...
Object ID: issw-2012-051-054.pdf
Keywords: avalanche path, snow depth,prediction methods, avalanche awareness
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Title: The Underestimated Role of the Stauchwall in Full-Depth Avalanche Release
Date: 2012
Authors: Perry Bartelt, Christine Pielmeier, Stefan Margreth, Stephan Harvey, Thomas Stucki
Description: During the winter 2011/12 the Swiss Alps experienced repeated cycles with high activity of snow gliding and full-depth avalanches. Up to 8 m deep glid...
Object ID: issw-2012-127-133.pdf
Keywords: snow gliding, full-depth avalanche, compacted zone,
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Title: The MLK Event At Crystal Mountain
Date: 2012
Authors: Christopher C. Morin
Description: The winter of 2010/2011 created a surprisingly widespread weak layer across the northwestern United States. In Washington state it became to be known...
Object ID: issw-2012-240-243.pdf
Keywords: snowfall, crusts, avalanche cycles, helicopter bombing
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Title: How Snow Cover Properties Influence Avalanche Dynamics
Date: 2012
Authors: W. Steinkogler, B. Sovilla, M. Lehning
Description: The run-out distance depends, among other things, on the release mass and the snow conditions in the avalanche path. So far, our knowledge on the effe...
Object ID: issw-2012-569-573.pdf
Keywords: run-out distance, snow cover, snowpack conditions
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Title: Spatial Variability in Steep Couloirs: Weak Layer Variation With Respect to Wind Direction
Date: 2010
Authors: Zach M. Guy, Karl W. Birkeland
Description: Understanding the spatial variability of the snowpack is critical for avalanche prediction and mitigation. Previous spatial variability research focus...
Object ID: ISSW_O-016.pdf
Keywords: steep couloirs, wind direction, geographic information systems (gis)
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Title: Regional Methods for Snow Avalanche Prediction: The Case of Italian Alps
Date: 2009
Authors: Daniele Bocchiola
Description: Regional statistical methods carry considerable bearing on prediction of natural events with low frequency of occurrence, including snow avalanches. ...
Object ID: issw-2009-0505-0508.pdf
Keywords: avalanche hazard, regional methods, long term simulation, italian alps
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Title: Automated Numerical Prediction Using Electronic Meteorological and Manual Snowpack Data
Date: 2006
Authors: P. D. Cordy, D. M. McClung , C. J. Hawkins, T. Weick
Description: Nearest neighbor algorithms using manual observation data can provide useful and accurate predictions of avalanche activity (McClung and Tweedy 1994,...
Object ID: issw-2006-612-617.pdf
Keywords: numerical avalanche prediction, nearest neighbours, mart, highways
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Title: Numerical Avalanche Prediction in Bear Pass, British Columbia, Canada
Date: 2002
Authors: James A. Floyer, David M. McClung
Description: A numerical avalanche prediction scheme offering prediction rates greater than 70% is under development for the Bear Pass highway operation, British C...
Object ID: issw-2002-149-151.pdf
Keywords: avalanche prediction numerical modeling
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Title: Analysis of Process Oriented Avalanche Forecasting Technique Followed at Sase, Manali, India
Date: 1998
Authors: A.Ganju, D.K. Prashar, Naresh Thakur
Description: Avalanche forecasting technique followed at SASE has evolved with experience, knowledge and science. Starting with the simplistic approach of snowfal...
Object ID: issw-1998-419-425.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snowfall, modeling
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Title: Weather Forecasts for Avalanche Prediction
Date: 1988
Authors: S.A. Ferguson, M.B. Moore, R.T. Marriott, P. Speers-Hayes
Description: From its inception in 1975, the Northwest Avalanche Center (NWAC) has emphasized the development and operational production of micro- and mesoscale we...
Object ID: issw-1988-083-086.pdf
Keywords: predictions, forecasts, avalanche, snow stability, maritime climate
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