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Title: Validation of a Coupled Weather and Snowpack Model Across Western Montana
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Kyle Van Peursem, Jordy Hendrikx, Karl Birkeland, Dan Miller, Chris Gibson
Description: Predicting avalanche danger depends on knowledge of the existing snowpack structure and the current and forecasted weather conditions. In remote and d...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.11.pdf
Keywords: snow cover models, weather models, snowpack, wrf, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Towards an Improved European Auxiliary Matrix for Assessing Avalanche Danger Levels
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Karsten Müller, Thomas Stucki, Christoph Mitterer, Patrick Nairz, Hans Konetschny, Thomas Feistl, Cecile Coleou, Flavio Berbenni, Igor Chiambretti
Description: Since 1993, the European Avalanche Warning Services (EAWS) use a common 5-level Avalanche Danger Scale to describe the regional avalanche danger in pu...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.12.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, bavarian matrix, eaws
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Title: Automated Alpine Weather Forecasting for the Avalanche Practitioner
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Christopher Morin
Description: There has been an explosion in scalable computing power, big data, and machine learning over the past 5 years. This has significantly changed how we i...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.13.pdf
Keywords: weather forecasting, avalanche forecasting, cloud computing
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Title: Description and Evaluation of the New French Operational Chain of Models for Avalanche Hazard Forecasting Incorporating a Drifting Snow Scheme
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Gilbert Guyomarch, Vincent Vionnet, Matthieu Lafaysse, Gérald Giraud, Yannick Déliot, Florence Naaim-Bouvet
Description: It is well known by avalanche forecasters that wind plays a determinant role in shaping the small-scale distribution of snow and strongly influences t...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.14.pdf
Keywords: drifting snow events, tools for avalanche forecasters, avalanche hazard forecasting
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Title: Looking to the '20s: Computer-Assisted Avalanche Forecasting in Canada
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: James A. Floyer, Karl Klassen, Simon Horton, Pascal Haegeli
Description: In contrast to weather forecasting, where public and professional adoption of computer-based numerical weather prediction systems has been dramatic, a...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.15.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, computer modelling, computer-assisted forecasting
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Title: Characteristics of Avalanche Release and an Approach of Avalanche Forecasting System Using SNOWPACK Model in the Tianshan Mountains, China
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Osamu Abe, Lanhai Li, Lei Bai, Jiansheng Hao, Hiroyuki Hirashima, Junrong Xu
Description: We summarized the characteristics of avalanche releases in the Tianshan Mountains of western China based on observations of snow cover and avalanche o...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.17.pdf
Keywords: avalanche release, forecasting system, snowpack model, tianshan mountains
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Title: Assigning Probabilities in Local Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Krister Kristensen
Description: In some local forecasting programs there is a need to predict the probability of an avalanche encounter, i.e. the probability for an avalanche to reac...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.18.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, probability assessment
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Title: Avalanche Problems in Norway -- How We Use Them and Does it Work?
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Solveig Kosberg, Markus Landrø, Karsten Müller, Rune Engeset, Jostein Aasen
Description: After four seasons of national avalanche forecasting, we consider the avalanche problems as the most important element of our bulletin. Our system is ...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.22.pdf
Keywords: avalanche problems, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Avalanche Forecasting and Messaging for Unusual Avalanche Conditions in a Maritime Snow Climate-Buried Surface Hoar
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Steve A. Reynaud
Description: Atypical storm systems impacted the greater Lake Tahoe area during early January 2016 which contributed to the formation and preservation of buried su...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.23.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, messaging, buried surface hoar, avalanche fatality
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Title: Case Study: Forecasting Challenges on San Francisco Peaks, Arizona; Anomalies of This Low Mid-Latitude Strata Volcano
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: David W. Lovejoy
Description: San Francisco Peaks in northern Arizona is the focus of this case study which characterizes unique attributes of this mid-latitude, high elevation str...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.24.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, mid-latitude volcanoes, mountain weather
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Title: Using Large Column Tests to Successfully Forecast Persistent Deep Slab Avalanches in the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Brandon Schwartz, Andy Anderson
Description: Forecasting of Persistent Deep Slab avalanches presents a unique and at times difficult problem for Backcountry Regional Forecasters, Guide Services, ...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.26.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, persistent deep slab, propagation saw test (pst), extended column test (ect), sierra nevada
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Title: On Estimating Avalanche Danger From Simulated Snow Profiles
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Bruce Jamieson
Description: Estimating avalanche danger is the primary goal of avalanche warning services. Typically avalanche danger is estimated based on a variety of informati...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-01.pdf
Keywords: avalanche warning, avalanche forecasting, avalanche danger, snowpack, snow cover simulations, numerical weather prediction, data sparse areas
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Title: Towards a New Chain of Models for Avalanche Hazard Forecasting in French Mountain Ranges, Including Low Altitude Mountains
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Matthieu Lafaysse, Samuel Morin, Cecile Coleou, Matthieu Vernay, Damien Serca, Francois Besson, Jean-Marie Willemet, Gerald Giraud, Yves Durand
Description: Operational avalanche hazard warning carried out by Météo-France for the three main mountain ranges (Alps, Pyrenees, Corsica) have used snow sim...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-02.pdf
Keywords: snow modelling, operational, ground, mid-altitude
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Title: Identification of Slushflow Situations from Regional Weather Models
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Christian Jaedicke, Oyvind Armand Hoydal, Knut Helge Midtbo
Description: Slushflows are known phenomena that cause significant problems for settlements and infrastructure in Norway. Even though single events in the same loc...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-05.pdf
Keywords: slushflow, avalanche warning, weather models, forecasting
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Title: Will There (Still) Be Snow for the Upcoming Winter Holidays? On the Conditional Predictability of Snow Conditions Several Weeks to Months in Advance
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Samuel Morin, Matthieu Lafaysse, Cecile Coleou, Yves Lejeune
Description: Modern societies increasingly require anticipation capabilities in virtually all aspects of human life, including snow conditions in mountain regions,...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-12.pdf
Keywords: snowpack modelling, predictability, seasonal forecast
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