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Your search for Subject hierarchical bayesian change point modelsresulted in 55 records.

Title: How Short Warm Events Disrupt Snowcover Dynamics Example of a Polar Basin – Spitsberg, 79°N
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Éric Bernard, Florian Tolle, Jean Michel Friedt, Christelle Marlin, Madeleine Griselin
Description: Arctic is a reliable indicator of global climate changes. Snow dynamics are directly affected, and following processes becomes challenging: some fast...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-41.pdf
Keywords: climate change, arctic, snow dynamics, geomatic
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Title: Nouveaux Indicateurs de Suivi Climatique Pour l’enneigement en Montagne - New Snow Cover Climate Monitoring Indices
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Sophie Martinoni-Lapierre, Daniel Goetz, Michel Schneider, Pierre Etchevers, Cécile Coléou
Description: The scarcity of long climatological series of snow height in mountain broke for a long time the development of reliable climatic indices of average sn...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-44.pdf
Keywords: climatology, climate monitoring, snow cover, indices
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Title: Evaluation of Snowmelt Runoff for Extreme Annual Snow Conditions Under Climate Change
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Yoshihiro ASAOKA, Shunsuke KASHIWA, So KAZAMA
Description: This research investigates the response of snowmelt runoff to change in temperature and precipitation for extreme annual snow conditions such as heavy...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-45.pdf
Keywords: river discharge, heavy and light snow year, distributed runoff model
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Title: Climate Change in Italian Alps: Analysis of Snow Precipitation, Snow Durations and Avalanche Activity
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Mauro Valt, Cianfarra Paola
Description: The historical record (1961-2010), of snowfall, snow duration and of temperatures collected in the Italian Alps are presented and analysed. A reducti...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-48.pdf
Keywords: snow cover, avalanche activity, climate change
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Title: The Avalanche Climate of Glacier National Park, B.C., Canada During 1965-2011
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Bruce Jamieson, Grant Statham
Description: Climate change is evident and long-term changes of the climate system have been observed. It has been shown that changing atmospheric conditions infl...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-50.pdf
Keywords: climate change, avalanche formation, avalanche activity, solid precipitation rate, crust formation
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Title: Basic Findings of the Project RIMES - Avalanches
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Antonia Zeidler, Paul Dobesberger
Description: Within the research project RIMES (Climate Change and Natural Hazard Risk Management in Energy Systems) the primary focus was put on the development o...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-52.pdf
Keywords: avalanche, climate change
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Title: Exploration of Water Management Adaptation Strategies in the Context of Climatic Changes in the Alps Using a Modelling Tool
Date: 2013-10-07
Authors: Eve Leroy, Georges-Marie Saulnier
Description: In the Alps, various studies conclude to a significant temperatures increase and a less clear signal for precipitation. Nevertheless, more solid preci...
Object ID: ISSW13_paper_P4-54.pdf
Keywords: water management, climate change adaptation, development strategies, alpine space
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Title: Avalanche Simulations in Forested Terrain: A Framework Towards a Bayesian Probabilistic Model Calibration
Date: 2012
Authors: Michaela Teich, Irene Vasella, Perry Bartelt, Peter Bebi, Thomas Feistl, Adrienne Grêt Regamey
Description: Avalanche dynamics models are used for hazard zoning and engineering to predict runout distances and impact pressures of snow avalanche events. The ef...
Object ID: issw-2012-628-632.pdf
Keywords: avalanche simulation, avalanche dynamics, avalanche runout, swiss alps
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Title: Modeling and Visualizing Avalanche Flow Using Genetic Algorithms and OpenGL
Date: 2012
Authors: Donna Delparte, Michael Peterson, Jahrain Jackson, John Perkins
Description: Simulating snow avalanche flow with numerical models and digital elevation model (DEM) data has allowed snow scientists to better understand flow mov...
Object ID: issw-2012-439-443.pdf
Keywords: snow simulation, terrain, genetic algorithm, runout
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Title: Climate Change in Lower Austria – A Snow Cover Analysis of the Last 100 Years With a Special Emphasis on the Last Century and the Impact of the Avalanche Situation in Lower Austria
Date: 2010
Authors: Friedrich Salzer, Arnold Studeregger
Description: In the winters 2005/06 and 2008/09 the snow height in Lower Austria was eminently high. In the last 10 years there were six winters with an eminently ...
Object ID: ISSW_P-002.pdf
Keywords: climate change, snow cover, one hundred year record
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Title: Potential Impacts of Climate Change or U.S. Wastach Range Ski Areas: Projections for Park City Mountain Resort in 2030, 2050, and 2075
Date: 2010
Authors: Brian Lazar, Mark W. Williams
Description: We evaluate the potential impacts to snow coverage and depth from anthropogenic climate change at Park City Mountain Resort in 2030, 2050, and 2075. S...
Object ID: ISSW_P-023.pdf
Keywords: climate change, snow, park city, ski areas, general circulation models, wasatch
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Title: Potential Changes in the Frequency of Rain-On-Snow Events for U.S. Cascades Ski Areas As A Result of Climate Change: Projections for Mt Bachelor, Oregon in the 21rst Century
Date: 2010
Authors: Brian Lazar, Mark W. Williams
Description: We evaluate how climate change resulting from increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions may affect the frequency of rain-on-snow events at Mt. Bachelo...
Object ID: ISSW_P-024.pdf
Keywords: climate change, rain-on-snow, avalanches, mt bachelor, ski areas, cascades
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Title: Interaction Avalanche-Obstacle: A First Attempt of Comparison Between A Real Case Study and Numerical Simulations
Date: 2010
Authors: Eloïse Bovet, Bernardino Chiaia, Luigi Preziosi
Description: The purpose of this work, within the Project “DynAval - Dynamique des avalanches: départ et interactions écoulement/obstacles” - Eu...
Object ID: ISSW_P-080.pdf
Keywords: coefficients, slope, model
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Title: Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Snow Avalanche Activity in France Over the Last 60 Winters Using Hierarchical Bayesian Change Point Models
Date: 2009
Authors: N. Eckert, E. Parent, M. Naaim
Description: This study focuses on avalanche occurrences and runout altitudes in France over the last 61 winters. For both variables, the interannual fluctuations ...
Object ID: issw-2009-0234-0238.pdf
Keywords: avalanche occurrence, runout altitude, climate change impact, change point models
View additional details about Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Snow Avalanche Activity in France Over the Last 60 Winters Using Hierarchical Bayesian Change Point Models

Title: Results of 50 Years of Climate Reanalysis in the French Pyrenees (1958-2008) Using the Safran and Crocus Models
Date: 2009
Authors: Malou N.A. Maris, Gérald Giraud, Yves Durand, Jean-Pierre Navarre, Laurent Mérindol
Description: Due to the lack of a sufficient amount of directly observed long-term snow data, the SAFRAN-CROCUS model chain, usually applied to operational avalan...
Object ID: issw-2009-0219-0223.pdf
Keywords: validation, climatology, pyrenees, snow height, trend
View additional details about Results of 50 Years of Climate Reanalysis in the French Pyrenees (1958-2008) Using the Safran and Crocus Models