Your search for Keyword "prediction"resulted in 35 records.
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- Title: Avalanche prediction and strength-of-knowledge assessment
- Date: 2018-10-07
- Authors: Krister Kristensen
- Description: The NGI provides local avalanche forecasting, produces hazard maps and acts as an advisor for national and local authorities during emergencies. A mai...
- Object ID: ISSW2018_P15.4.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche prediction, risk management, knowledge assessment
- View additional details about Avalanche prediction and strength-of-knowledge assessment
- Title: Regional Forecasting of Wet Snow Avalanche Cycles: an Essential Tool for Avalanche Warning Services?
- Date: 2016-10-02
- Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Alec van Herwijnen, Christoph Mitterer, Nora Helbig, Tobias Jonas, Jürg Schweizer
- Description: Wet-snow avalanches are relatively poorly understood and difficult to forecast. By definition, liquid water is required in the snow cover, thus predic...
- Object ID: ISSW16_O6.03.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche forecasting, wet-snow avalanche, snow cover modelling, numerical weather prediction
- View additional details about Regional Forecasting of Wet Snow Avalanche Cycles: an Essential Tool for Avalanche Warning Services?
- Title: Weather Forecast Model Grid Spacing – Is Smaller Better
- Date: 2016-10-02
- Authors: John Snook
- Description: The Colorado Avalanche Information Center (CAIC) implemented an in-house numerical weather prediction model in 2011. Computer-generated forecast produ...
- Object ID: ISSW16_O15.01.pdf
- Keywords: numerical weather prediction, operational forecasting, colorado avalanche information center (caic)
- View additional details about Weather Forecast Model Grid Spacing – Is Smaller Better
- Title: Weather Modeling for Remote Operators in Southeast Alaska
- Date: 2016-10-02
- Authors: Nick Barlow
- Description: Unpredictable mountain weather presents a unique challenge for mechanized backcountry skiing in Southeast Alaska. Due to the rugged terrain profile of...
- Object ID: ISSW16_P4.02.pdf
- Keywords: meteorology, forecasting, numerical weather prediction
- View additional details about Weather Modeling for Remote Operators in Southeast Alaska
- Title: Stochastic Methods in Operational Avalanche Simulation - From Back Calculation to Prediction
- Date: 2016-10-02
- Authors: Valentin Hellweger, Jan-Thomas Fischer, Andreas Kofler, Andreas Huber, Wolfgang Fellin, Michael Oberguggenberger
- Description: Avalanche simulations are an integral part of hazard assessment. Determining the potential hazard requires a multidisciplinary approach, including dif...
- Object ID: ISSW16_P4.50.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche dynamics, parameter estimation, stochastic simulation, bayes’ theorem, metropolis-hastings algorithm, posterior distribution, back calculation, prediction
- View additional details about Stochastic Methods in Operational Avalanche Simulation - From Back Calculation to Prediction
- Title: How Accurate are Weather Models in Assisting Avalanche Forecasters?
- Date: 2014-09-29
- Authors: M. Schirmer, B. Jamieson
- Description: Avalanche forecasters and decision makers strongly rely on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, for example on the forecasted precipitation amou...
- Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O3.04.pdf
- Keywords: numerical weather prediction models, validation, precipitation
- View additional details about How Accurate are Weather Models in Assisting Avalanche Forecasters?
- Title: Simulation of the Alpine Snowpack Using Meteorological Fields From a Nonhydrostatic Weather Forecast Model
- Date: 2014-09-29
- Authors: V. Vionnet, I. Etchevers, L. Auger, A. Colomb, L. Pfitzner, M. Lafaysse, S. Morin
- Description: In the Alps, the snowpack is very variable at all scales and depends in particular on the climatological
area and local orography represented by alti...
- Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.20.pdf
- Keywords: snowpack modelling, numerical weather prediction, french alps
- View additional details about Simulation of the Alpine Snowpack Using Meteorological Fields From a Nonhydrostatic Weather Forecast Model
- Title: Online Tool for Visualizing Surface Hoar Layers
- Date: 2014-09-29
- Authors: Simon Horton, Michael Schirmer, Bruce Jamieson, Erik Kulyk
- Description: A key step in preparing an avalanche forecast is estimating the location and sensitivity of critical snowpack layers. Traditionally this is based on m...
- Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.37.pdf
- Keywords: surface hoar, avalanche forecasting, numerical weather prediction
- View additional details about Online Tool for Visualizing Surface Hoar Layers
- Title: On Estimating Avalanche Danger From Simulated Snow Profiles
- Date: 2013-10-07
- Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Bruce Jamieson
- Description: Estimating avalanche danger is the primary goal of avalanche warning services. Typically avalanche danger is estimated based on a variety of informati...
- Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O1-01.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche warning, avalanche forecasting, avalanche danger, snowpack, snow cover simulations, numerical weather prediction, data sparse areas
- View additional details about On Estimating Avalanche Danger From Simulated Snow Profiles
- Title: Why Don’t Avalanche-Dynamics Models of Higher Complexity Necessarily Lead to Better Predictions?
- Date: 2013-10-07
- Authors: Christophe Ancey
- Description: The avalanche-dynamics approach has a long history in avalanche prediction. In the absence of computers, scientists and engineers focused on idealized...
- Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O2-20.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche-dynamics model, saint-venant equation, prediction and uncertainty, maps
- View additional details about Why Don’t Avalanche-Dynamics Models of Higher Complexity Necessarily Lead to Better Predictions?
- Title: Spatial Predictions of Surface Hoar and Crust Formation
- Date: 2013-10-07
- Authors: Simon Horton, Michael Schirmer, Bruce Jamieson
- Description: Understanding the distribution of critical snowpack layers is important when assessing avalanche hazard. Two common critical layers, surface hoar and ...
- Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-01.pdf
- Keywords: surface hoar, sun crust, surface energy balance, avalanche forecasting, numeric weather prediction
- View additional details about Spatial Predictions of Surface Hoar and Crust Formation
- Title: SNOWGRID – A New Operational Snow Cover Model in Austria
- Date: 2013-10-07
- Authors: Marc Olefs, Wolfgang Schöner, Martin Suklitsch, Christoph Wittmann, Bernd Niedermoser, Alfred Neururer, Arnulf Wurzer
- Description: We present first results of the newly developed, physically-based and spatially distributed snow cover model SNOWGRID. The model is driven with gridde...
- Object ID: ISSW13_paper_O4-07.pdf
- Keywords: snow cover model, climate services, avalanche warning, inca, nowcasting, numerical weather prediction
- View additional details about SNOWGRID – A New Operational Snow Cover Model in Austria
- Title: On Indicator Path Avalanches for Local Avalanche Forecasting
- Date: 2012
- Authors: Jürg Schweizer, Claudia Alig, Christoph Mitterer
- Description: Avalanches are clear signs of instability and thus often considered as the best predictor for further events. In fact, avalanches that release at the...
- Object ID: issw-2012-051-054.pdf
- Keywords: avalanche path, snow depth,prediction methods, avalanche awareness
- View additional details about On Indicator Path Avalanches for Local Avalanche Forecasting
- Title: Nowcast With a Forescast – Snow Cover Simulations on Slopes
- Date: 2012
- Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Bruce Jamieson
- Description: The snow cover model SNOWPACK simulates the snow cover formation and evolution
based on meteorological parameters. In the past, these parameters were...
- Object ID: issw-2012-172-178.pdf
- Keywords: snowpack, snow cover modeling, avalanche warning, numerical weather prediction models, snow cover stratigraphy, model output statistics
- View additional details about Nowcast With a Forescast – Snow Cover Simulations on Slopes
- Title: Prediction of Slushflow Hazard Based On Data From Local Meteorological Stations
- Date: 2010
- Authors: Steinar Bakkehøi, Erik Hestnes
- Description: Seeking objective criteria for slushflow prediction and warning, meteorological data has been recorded at two slushflow sites in Rana District, North ...
- Object ID: ISSW_P-067.pdf
- Keywords: slushflow, prediction, pressure transmitters, slushflow releases
- View additional details about Prediction of Slushflow Hazard Based On Data From Local Meteorological Stations
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