Your search for Keyword "prediction"resulted in 35 records.
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- Title: THE OUTDOOR ADVENTURE RISK INDEX: FORECASTING BACKCOUNTRY EVACUATION LIKELIHOOD FROM WEATHER AND VISITOR EXPOSURE
- Date: 2026-09-28
- Authors: Matthew Sheahan, Peter Tsigaris, Anne Terwiel, Yaou Hu
- Description: Backcountry risk assessment requires practitioners and operators to interpret continually changing environmental conditions alongside uneven patterns ...
- Object ID: ISSW2026_P3.14.pdf
- Keywords: backcountry risk, evacuation likelihood, rare-event prediction, visitor exposure, decision support, search and rescue
- View additional details about THE OUTDOOR ADVENTURE RISK INDEX: FORECASTING BACKCOUNTRY EVACUATION LIKELIHOOD FROM WEATHER AND VISITOR EXPOSURE
- Title: FROM POINT TO SLOPE: ASSESSING WEATHER STATION SNOW DEPTH REPRESENTATIVENESS USING LIDAR AND GEOSTATISTICS
- Date: 2026-09-28
- Authors: Katreen M. Wikstrom Jones, Gabriel J. Wolken, Michael Janes
- Description: Weather station data are widely used by avalanche forecasters to validate meteorological forecasts and to assess snowpack characteristics at specific ...
- Object ID: ISSW2026_P3.31.pdf
- Keywords: weather stations, snow depth, spatial representativeness, snow prediction, lidar.
- View additional details about FROM POINT TO SLOPE: ASSESSING WEATHER STATION SNOW DEPTH REPRESENTATIVENESS USING LIDAR AND GEOSTATISTICS
- Title: PREDICTION OF THE DESTRUCTIVE SIZE OF DRY SLAB AVALANCHES FROM FIELD MEASUREMENTS
- Date: 2026-09-28
- Authors: DM McClung, Nicola Pugno
- Description: In this paper we present estimates of the Destructive Size of dry snow slab avalanches based on field measurements of initial dimensions. The dimensio...
- Object ID: ISSW2026_P3.51.pdf
- Keywords: dry slab avalanche, destructive size, statistical prediction
- View additional details about PREDICTION OF THE DESTRUCTIVE SIZE OF DRY SLAB AVALANCHES FROM FIELD MEASUREMENTS
- Title: EVALUATION AND IMPROVEMENT OF SNOW STABILITY TESTS BASED ON MEASUREMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH REAL AVALANCHES
- Date: 2024-09-23
- Authors: Alain Duclos, Frédéric Pourraz, Gaëlle Bourgeois
- Description: A number of snow stability tests (Rutschblock, CT, ECT, PST) have been in use for long. However, some dramatic cases have shown their limitations as s...
- Object ID: ISSW2024_P1.4.pdf
- Keywords: snow stability tests, pst critical initiation cuts, significant triggering probability, snowpack measurements, avalanche prediction.
- View additional details about EVALUATION AND IMPROVEMENT OF SNOW STABILITY TESTS BASED ON MEASUREMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH REAL AVALANCHES
- Title: GENERATING MAPS FOR OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE WARNING WITH MACHINE LEARNING ALGORITHMS
- Date: 2024-09-23
- Authors: Reinhard Fromm, Christine Schönberger
- Description: Snow avalanche warning services use a wide range of tools to ensure that users of their bulletins receive reliable and consistent information. This st...
- Object ID: ISSW2024_P1.17.pdf
- Keywords: prediction, risk assessment, random forest, support vector machine, nearest neighbor, multi-output classifier
- View additional details about GENERATING MAPS FOR OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE WARNING WITH MACHINE LEARNING ALGORITHMS
- Title: INITIALIZING AND EVALUATING SNOWPACK SIMULATIONS WITH RECURRING SNOW PROFILE OBSERVATIONS
- Date: 2024-09-23
- Authors: Michael Binder, Martin Perfler, Florian Herla, Frank Techel, Christoph Mitterer
- Description: Information on snow stratigraphy and stability is crucial in avalanche forecasting. Traditionally,
this information has been obtained by manually obs...
- Object ID: ISSW2024_O3.10.pdf
- Keywords: snowpack simulations, snow profiles, profile comparison, weather station, numerical weather prediction models, snow profile alignment and similarity assessment
- View additional details about INITIALIZING AND EVALUATING SNOWPACK SIMULATIONS WITH RECURRING SNOW PROFILE OBSERVATIONS
- Title: INITIALIZING SNOW COVER SIMULATIONS WITH OBSERVED SNOW PROFILES
- Date: 2023-10-08
- Authors: Michael Binder, Christoph Mitterer
- Description: Snow cover models were originally developed to advance snow and avalanche research and assist operational avalanche forecasting. Though indispensable ...
- Object ID: ISSW2023_O4.02.pdf
- Keywords: snowpack simulations, snow profiles, operational assessment and forecasting of avalanche danger, snow density parameterization, numerical weather prediction models, snow profile alignment and similarity assessment
- View additional details about INITIALIZING SNOW COVER SIMULATIONS WITH OBSERVED SNOW PROFILES
- Title: SNOWPACK MODELING EFFORTS AT THE COLORADO AVALANCHE INFORMATION CENTER
- Date: 2023-10-08
- Authors: John Snook, Mike Cooperstein, Ethan Greene
- Description: The Colorado Avalanche Information Center started investigating operational
applications of the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscap...
- Object ID: ISSW2023_O4.03.pdf
- Keywords: snowpack modeling, numerical weather prediction, avalanche forecasting
- View additional details about SNOWPACK MODELING EFFORTS AT THE COLORADO AVALANCHE INFORMATION CENTER
- Title: TOWARDS A FULLY MODEL-BASED AVALANCHE HAZARD ASSESSMENT: INVESTIGATING THE IMPACT OF INPUT DATA ON MACHINE LEARNING PREDICTIONS.
- Date: 2023-10-08
- Authors: Bettina Richter, Mathias Bavay, Martin Hendrick, Stephanie Mayer, Rebecca Mott, Cristina Pérez Guillén, Alec van Herwijnen
- Description: Operational avalanche forecasting mostly relies on manual snow profiles, snow instability observations, and weather data to assess the avalanche dange...
- Object ID: ISSW2023_O4.06.pdf
- Keywords: numerical avalanche forecasting, snow cover modeling, random forest models, weather prediction models
- View additional details about TOWARDS A FULLY MODEL-BASED AVALANCHE HAZARD ASSESSMENT: INVESTIGATING THE IMPACT OF INPUT DATA ON MACHINE LEARNING PREDICTIONS.
- Title: ENHANCED WINTER PRECIPITATION NEAR FERNIE, BRITISH COLUMBIA
- Date: 2023-10-08
- Authors: Michael Conlan, James Floyer
- Description: The Lizard Range near Fernie, B.C. often receives high amounts of precipitation in winter months, which can be substantially more than forecast by wea...
- Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.06.pdf
- Keywords: enhanced precipitation, fernie factor, numerical weather prediction, weather forecasting, avalanche forecasting
- View additional details about ENHANCED WINTER PRECIPITATION NEAR FERNIE, BRITISH COLUMBIA
- Title: ASSESSING SNOWPACK STRATIGRAPHY ACCURACY BASED ON DIFFERENT INPUT DATA: INSIGHTS FOR OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE FORECASTING
- Date: 2023-10-08
- Authors: Ross T. Palomaki, Zachary S. Miller
- Description: Avalanche forecasters and snow scientists use physically based snow stratigraphy models to fill spatial and temporal gaps in field-based snow profile ...
- Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.26.pdf
- Keywords: snow cover model, automated weather station, numerical weather prediction, similarity
- View additional details about ASSESSING SNOWPACK STRATIGRAPHY ACCURACY BASED ON DIFFERENT INPUT DATA: INSIGHTS FOR OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE FORECASTING
- Title: Combination of climatological information and meteorological forecast for seamless prediction of alpine snow conditions
- Date: 2018-10-07
- Authors: Carlo Maria Carmagnola, Samuel Morin, Matthieu Lafaysse, Matthieu Vernay, Hugues François, Nicolas Eckert, Lauriane Batté, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Christian Viel
- Description: Ski-resort management strongly depends on meteorological conditions, in particular natural snowfall and conditions favorable for technical snowmaking....
- Object ID: ISSW2018_O06.1.pdf
- Keywords: ski-resorts, snow management, snowmaking, snowpack modeling, numerical weather prediction, climate services
- View additional details about Combination of climatological information and meteorological forecast for seamless prediction of alpine snow conditions
- Title: A multi-layer snow cover model for numerical weather prediction and climate models
- Date: 2018-10-07
- Authors: Sascha Bellaire, Michael Lehning
- Description: The seasonal snow cover strongly influences boundary layer processes such as turbulence and radiation. Therefore, knowledge of the current state of th...
- Object ID: ISSW2018_P08.1.pdf
- Keywords: snow cover modelling, numerical weather prediction, climate modelling.
- View additional details about A multi-layer snow cover model for numerical weather prediction and climate models
- Title: To the origin of the temperature bias in the AROME numerical weather forecast model : investigations at a high-altitude site
- Date: 2018-10-07
- Authors: Isabelle Gouttevin, Vincent Vionnet, Fatima Karbou, Hugo Merzisen, Yannick Deliot
- Description: The AROME-France meso-scale atmospheric model currently provides operational weather forecasts at about 1.3-km spatial resolution over a domain coveri...
- Object ID: ISSW2018_P08.9.pdf
- Keywords: numerical weather prediction models - mountain meteorology - model biases.
- View additional details about To the origin of the temperature bias in the AROME numerical weather forecast model : investigations at a high-altitude site
- Title: A Bayesian approach to consider uncertainties in avalanche simulation
- Date: 2018-10-07
- Authors: Andreas Kofler, Jan-Thomas Fischer, Andreas Huber, Martin Mergili, Wolfgang Fellin, Michael Oberguggenberger
- Description: Over the last decades, an increasing number of software tools for modelling rapid mass flows (e.g. avalanches, debris flows) has been developed, teste...
- Object ID: ISSW2018_P08.19.pdf
- Keywords: bayes’ theorem, metropolis-hastings algorithm, parameter estimation, probabilistic simulation, posterior distribution, back calculation, prediction
- View additional details about A Bayesian approach to consider uncertainties in avalanche simulation
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