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Your search for Keyword "forecasting."resulted in 550 records.

Title: Case Study: Forecasting Challenges on San Francisco Peaks, Arizona; Anomalies of This Low Mid-Latitude Strata Volcano
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: David W. Lovejoy
Description: San Francisco Peaks in northern Arizona is the focus of this case study which characterizes unique attributes of this mid-latitude, high elevation str...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.24.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, mid-latitude volcanoes, mountain weather
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Title: Using Large Column Tests to Successfully Forecast Persistent Deep Slab Avalanches in the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Brandon Schwartz, Andy Anderson
Description: Forecasting of Persistent Deep Slab avalanches presents a unique and at times difficult problem for Backcountry Regional Forecasters, Guide Services, ...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.26.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, persistent deep slab, propagation saw test (pst), extended column test (ect), sierra nevada
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Title: Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Avalanche Problems in Western Canada: An Analysis of the Winters 2010-2016
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Bret Shandro, Pascal Haegeli, Grant Statham, James Floyer
Description: Not all avalanches are the same. Different combinations of snowpack structures and meteorological conditions create different types of avalanche probl...
Object ID: ISSW16_P4.34.pdf
Keywords: avalanche danger, aval anche forecasting, avalanche hazard, avalanche problems
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Title: Decision-Making and Avalanche Mitigation During a Rapid Onset Wet Slab Avalanche Cycle
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Paul Baugher, Karl W. Birkeland
Description: Although all avalanche types are difficult to forecast and mitigate, wet slab avalanches are particularly problematic. The dynamics of wet slabs are p...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O1.01.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, avalanche mitigation, decision-making, risk management, wet slab avalanches
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Title: Comparing Models of Different Levels of Complexity for the Prediction of Wet-Snow Avalanches
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Christoph Mitterer, Jürg Schweizer
Description: The amount and timing of infiltrating water plays an important role in determining wetsnow instability. However, the nature of water flow in snow is v...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O1.02.pdf
Keywords: wet-snow avalanches, avalanche forecasting, danger assessment.
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Title: Meteorological Variables Associated with Deep Slab Avalanches on Persistent Weak Layers
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Alex Marienthal, Jordy Hendrikx, Karl Birkeland, Kathi Irvine
Description: Deep slab avalanches are a particularly challenging avalanche forecasting problem. These avalanches are typically difficult to trigger, yet when they ...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O1.04.pdf
Keywords: deep slabs, avalanche forecasting, classification trees
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Title: The Evolution of the 2014 'Damalanche' Facet Layer in South-Central and SouthEast Alaska
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Donald Sharaf, Michael Janes
Description: The 2014 mid to late season snowpack in the Eastern Chugach Range of Alaska presented challenges and learning for the heli-ski operations around Thomp...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O3.01.pdf
Keywords: near-surface faceting, alaska, avalanche forecasting, melt-layer recrystallization.
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Title: What do Field Observations tell us about Avalanche Danger?
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Shane Haladuick, Michael Schirmer, Bruce Jamieson
Description: The avalanche forecast regions in Canada range from 100 to 30,000 km2, far larger than the 10 km2 covered in a typical backcountry day. This differenc...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O3.02.pdf
Keywords: local avalanche danger, avalanche character, avalanche forecasting, recreationist
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Title: The Wisdom of Crowds in Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Bruce Tremper, Paul Diegel
Description: Starting at least 28 years ago, the Utah Avalanche Center has strongly encouraged the public to submit avalanche observations and they have always bee...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O4.01.pdf
Keywords: crowdsourcing, forecasting, public information, observations, social media
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Title: Identifying Trends in Forecaster Behavior Over 35 Years at the Northwest Avalanche Center
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Chris Morin
Description: The Northwest Avalanche Center has forecasted weather and avalanche hazard for the PNW for over 35 years. They have produced almost 100,000 point fore...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O4.02.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, forecast accuracy, weather data, weather forecasts
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Title: Hot-Spots and Hot-Times: Exploring Alternatives to Public Avalanche Forecasts in Canada's Data Sparse Northern Rockies Region
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Ilya Storm, R.Grant Helgeson
Description: Over the past six winters the Canadian Avalanche Centre's North Rockies Region accounted for 10% of British Columbia avalanche fatalities. The North R...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O4.03.pdf
Keywords: forecasting, data sparse, remote, public safety
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Title: Gravity Storm: A Case Study of the March 6, 2012 Avalanche Events at Sunshine Village, Banff
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Brendan Martland
Description: This paper introduces the avalanche control program at Sunshine Village Ski Resort and touches on a section of the Banff National Park Road Control pr...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O4.04.pdf
Keywords: public forecasting; human factors; avalanche risk management; post-control release; deep persistent weak layer.
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Title: Detecting Avalanches Using Seismic Monitoring Systems
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Alec van Herwijnen, Matthias Heck, Jürg Schweizer
Description: Meteorological, snowpack and avalanche activity data provide the essential building blocks for avalanche forecasting. While in recent decades the avai...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O5.03.pdf
Keywords: avalanche monitoring, avalanche forecasting, seismic instrumentation, avalanche formation
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Title: On How the Tensile Strength of the Slab Affects Crack Propagation Propensity
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Jürg Schweizer, Benjamin Reuter, Alec van Herwijnen, Dave Gauthier, Bruce Jamieson
Description: The release of a dry-snow slab avalanche is preceded by a series of fractures. The two key processes involved are (1) failure initiation within the we...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_O7.02.pdf
Keywords: avalanche release, snow stability evaluation, avalanche forecasting, fracture
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Title: Piloting a Backcountry Avalanche Advisory Program for Alaska's Most Readily Accessible Avalanche Terrain: The Front Range and Eagle River Area Chugach
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Mathew J. Brunton
Description: Despite heavy wintertime use (increasing exponentially in recent years) and a history riddled with recreational casualties and fatalities, Anchorage's...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.03.pdf
Keywords: anchorage, forecasting, specialist, safety, awareness
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