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Your search for Keyword "forecasting."resulted in 550 records.

Title: ENHANCED WINTER PRECIPITATION NEAR FERNIE, BRITISH COLUMBIA
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Michael Conlan, James Floyer
Description: The Lizard Range near Fernie, B.C. often receives high amounts of precipitation in winter months, which can be substantially more than forecast by wea...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.06.pdf
Keywords: enhanced precipitation, fernie factor, numerical weather prediction, weather forecasting, avalanche forecasting
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Title: AN OPERATIONAL TOOL FOR MANAGING EMERGENCIES BY CIVIL PROTECTION IN CASE OF HIGH AVALANCHE HAZARD
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Carles García-Sellés, Manuel Bertrán, Glòria Martí, Santiago Manguán, Jordi Pons, Francesc Vilar
Description: In the framework of the European RECIPE Project (Reinforcing Civil Protection capabilities into multi-hazard risk assessment under climate change - DG...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.10.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, risk assessment, emergency, major avalanches, pyrenees
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Title: HOW MANY SNOW PROFILES CAN YOU PROCESS? MAKING THE WEALTH OF INFORMATION INCLUDED IN LARGE-SCALE SNOWPACK SIMULATIONS MORE ACCESSIBLE FOR OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE FORECASTING
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, Patrick Mair
Description: Snowpack models can provide detailed and continuous insight about the evolution of the snow stratigraphy in ways that are not possible with direct obs...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.14.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snowpack modeling, data mining, comparing, summarizing, clustering
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Title: AVALANCHE FORECASTING WITH STATISTICAL METHODS IN NORWAY
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Eivind S. Juvik, Anders Aa. Hennum
Description: One important tasks of the Norwegian Public Roads Administration (NPRA) are road management in avalanche prone areas. Many roads are exposed to snow a...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.17.pdf
Keywords: data driven avalanche forecasting, machine learning, statistical methods, data quality, weather stations, avalanche registrations
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Title: ASSESSING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR EACH AVALANCHE SIZE IN SITE-SPECIFIC AVALANCHE FORECASTING
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Stian Langeland, Walter Steinkogler
Description: When an object of value is exposed to avalanche hazard this object is at risk. One way of managing such risk is by executing site-specific avalanche f...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.18.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, site-specific avalanche forecasting, tasarm, risk
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Title: COMPARING SNOWPACK METEOROLOGICAL INPUTS TO SUPPORT REGIONAL WET SNOW AVALANCHE FORECASTING
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Zachary Miller, Simon Horton, Christoph Mitterer, Erich Peitzsch
Description: Wet snow avalanches are predicted to increase in frequency with climate change and are often difficult to forecast. Improving our understanding of wet...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.23.pdf
Keywords: wet snow, snowpack, snow cover models, avalanche forecasting
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Title: DESIGNING DIGITAL TOOLS TO SUPPORT HANDOFF AT SHIFT CHANGES IN AVALANCHE FORECASTING
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Stan Nowak, Pascal Haegeli, Lyn Bartram
Description: Avalanche forecasters typically work in teams, relying on the continuity of their shared understanding of avalanche conditions. Shift changes can disr...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.25.pdf
Keywords: remote forecasting, shift changes, teamwork, digital support tools
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Title: AN INNOVATIVE PROTOCOL FOR CONDUCTING AND EXPLOITING SNOW TESTS: THE OUTCOME OF A RELIABLE FIELD EXPERIMENT AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF DIGITAL TOOLS ON SMARTPHONE
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Frédéric Pourraz, Alain Duclos, François Louchet
Description: The avalanche risk estimation, performed by a forecaster as well as a practitioner, is based on a limited number of parameters which are now subject t...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.27.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snow tests, measurement protocol, propagation propensity, real-time sharing
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Title: ON STABILITY MEASUREMENTS AND MODELING
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Jürg Schweizer, Benjamin Reuter, Christoph Mitterer, Fabiano Monti, Stephanie Mayer
Description: Recent developments in snow stability modeling demonstrated the great potential of numerical snow cover modeling for avalanche forecasting. The recent...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.31.pdf
Keywords: snow stability, avalanche forecasting, numerical modeling, failure initiation, crack propagation
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Title: DATA-DRIVEN MODELS USED IN OPERATIONAL AVALANCHE FORECASTING IN SWITZERLAND
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Alec van Herwijnen, Stephanie Mayer, Cristina Pérez Guillén, Frank Techel, Martin Hendrick, Jürg Schweizer
Description: One of the main challenges in avalanche forecasting is the complexity of the snowpack and its interactions with the environment. Traditional methods r...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P1.33.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, machine learning, data-driven models
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Title: ARE WE CONSISTENT? ON ASSESSING AND COMMUNICATING THE REGIONAL AVALANCHE DANGER LEVEL ACROSS FORECASTING CENTERS IN EUROPE
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Christoph Mitterer, Friedrich Mütschele, Simon Legner, Jakob Schwarz, Alexander Kehl, Norbert Lanzanasto
Description: The avalanche danger level is vital for those engaging in backcountry activities, yet obtaining this information used to require consulting multiple s...
Object ID: ISSW2023_O5.01.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, avalanche danger level, consistency, software
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Title: ASSESSING THE COLORADO AVALANCHE INFORMATION CENTER'S BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE FORECASTS
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Spencer Logan, Ethan Greene
Description: Understanding the quality of a prediction is an integral part of improving any forecasting process. The Colorado Avalanche Information Center (CAIC) s...
Object ID: ISSW2023_O5.02.pdf
Keywords: forecasting, verification, avalanche danger
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Title: A QUANTITATIVE MODULE OF AVALANCHE HAZARD---COMPARING FORECASTER ASSESSMENTS OF AVALANCHE PROBLEMS WITH INFORMATION DERIVED FROM DISTRIBUTED SNOWPACK SIMULATIONS
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, Patrick Mair
Description: Avalanche forecasting is a human judgment process with the goal of describing the nature and severity of avalanche hazard based on the concept of aval...
Object ID: ISSW2023_O5.04.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snowpack modeling, avalanche problems, model evaluation
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Title: THE EAWS MATRIX, A LOOK-UP TABLE FOR REGIONAL AVALANCHE DANGER LEVEL ASSESSMENT, AND ITS UNDERLYING CONCEPT
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Karsten Müller, Frank Techel, Christoph Mitterer, Thomas Feistl, Stefano Sofia, Nicolas Roux, Petter Palmgren, Guillem M. Bellido, Lorenzo Bertranda9
Description: With the motivation to increase consistency between forecasters and warning services when assessing regional avalanche danger, a working group of the ...
Object ID: ISSW2023_O5.05.pdf
Keywords: avalanche, forecasting, danger level, matrix, workflow, consistency
View additional details about THE EAWS MATRIX, A LOOK-UP TABLE FOR REGIONAL AVALANCHE DANGER LEVEL ASSESSMENT, AND ITS UNDERLYING CONCEPT

Title: HISTORIC WET SLAB AVALANCHE IN POST SEASON AT YELLOWSTONE CLUB: TIMING, RESPONSE, ANALYSIS, AND IMPLICATIONS
Date: 2023-10-08
Authors: Doug McCabe
Description: In May of 2020, a very large, natural wet slab avalanche occurred in-bounds at the Yellowstone Club Ski Area after the ski area had ceased operations ...
Object ID: ISSW2023_P2.18.pdf
Keywords: wet slab avalanche, avalanche forecasting, ski area operations.
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