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Your search for Keyword "forecasting"resulted in 550 records.

Title: An Expert Opinion Survey for the Development of a Decision Support Tool for Persistent Deep Slab Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Michael Conlan, Bruce Jamieson
Description: Persistent deep slab avalanches can be dangerous to humans and infrastructure because of their high destructive potential. The lengthy age of the fail...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.05.pdf
Keywords: deep slab avalanche, forecasting, survey, decision support
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Title: The Hawaiian Sucker Punch; Forecasting a Wet Slab Cycle In Southcentral Alaska January 2014
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: John Fitzgerald
Description: Late January 2014 in Alaska brought intense weather that produced an impressive avalanche cycle in many areas around the state. A plume of moisture o...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.09.pdf
Keywords: forecasting, wet slabs, rain on snow, alaska, turnagain pass.
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Title: Linking Large-Scale Wet-Snow Spatial Patterns in Mountainous Terrain to Incident Radiation and Topography
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: N. Helbig, F. Techel, A. van Herwijnen, T. Jonas
Description: Water percolating through the snow cover can lead to wet-snow instability as well as snowmelt runoff. The accurate prediction of spatial patterns of w...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.13.pdf
Keywords: wet-snow; avalanche forecasting; meteorological models; subgrid parameterization
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Title: Climate-Scale Maps of Cold-Season Precipitation in the Mountainous Areas of Colorado for Operational Forecasting Applications
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: B.J. Marraccini, Brian Lazar, Ethan Greene
Description: The PRISM precipitation model (v2014Jan) published by the PRISM Climate Group/NACSE provides a gridded (4km spatial resolution) estimate of monthly pr...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.15.pdf
Keywords: forecasting, precipitation, mapping, snow climate, gis.
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Title: Deriving Snow Stability Information From Simulated Snow Cover Stratigraphy
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Fabiano Monti, Jürg Schweizer, Johan Gaume
Description: Increasing the spatial and temporal resolution of snow stratigraphy information and reducing the subjectivity of stability evaluation are among the op...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.16.pdf
Keywords: snow stability, snowpack stratigraphy, snow cover modeling, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Operational Use of a Statistical Forecasting Tool on the Seward Highway, Alaska
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Matt Murphy, Jordy Hendrikx
Description: A variety of statistical avalanche forecasting tools using meteorological and snowpack predictors have been developed in many different snow avalanche...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.17.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, statistical forecasting, operational decisions
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Title: Avalanche Forecast Verification Through a Comparison of Local Nowcasts with Regional Forecast
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Eirik Sharp
Description: This paper presents a methodology and a new dataset used by the Canadian Avalanche Center's Yukon Field Team in the winters of 2013 and 2014 to valida...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.18.pdf
Keywords: yukon, public forecasting, forecast accuracy, forecast skill, temporal scale.
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Title: Relating Avalanches to Large-Scale Ocean – Atmospheric Oscillations
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Scott Thumlert, Sascha Bellaire, Bruce Jamieson
Description: Sea surface temperatures and sea-level pressures in the Pacific and Arctic oceans have been shown to affect weather patterns in western Canada, thus ...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.19.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, el nino southern oscillation, pacific decadal oscillation, arctic oscillation, pacific north american pattern, north atlantic oscillation
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Title: Avalanche Forecasting in The Southern Alps New Zealand
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Shannon Werner
Description: The 2008 winter season in the Southern Alps saw little wind (atypical), huge "Norwester" storms and consistent snowfall amounts. In the Craigieburn ra...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.21.pdf
Keywords: forecasting, infrastructure, mitigation, operational, risk
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Title: Estimating the Density of Dry Snow Layers From Hardness, and Hardness From Density
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Daehyun Kim, Bruce Jamieson
Description: At ISSW 2000, Geldsetzer and Jamieson presented empirical relations between the density and hardness of dry snow layers for common grain types. These ...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.25.pdf
Keywords: grain size, snow density, grain type, snow hardness, avalanche forecasting, snow stratigrapy
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Title: Understanding the Spatial Variability of Surface Hoar at the Mountain Range Scale
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Jordy Hendrikx, Lauren Yokley, Tom Leonard
Description: Surface hoar once buried, often produces a persistent weak layer that commonly causes instability in the snow pack in many areas around the world. It ...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.35.pdf
Keywords: spatial variability, surface hoar, forecasting.
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Title: Online Tool for Visualizing Surface Hoar Layers
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Simon Horton, Michael Schirmer, Bruce Jamieson, Erik Kulyk
Description: A key step in preparing an avalanche forecast is estimating the location and sensitivity of critical snowpack layers. Traditionally this is based on m...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.37.pdf
Keywords: surface hoar, avalanche forecasting, numerical weather prediction
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Title: Latitudinal Influence on Snow Climates
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: David W. Lovejoy, Derik Spice
Description: In North America most characterizations of snow climates (sometimes referred to as avalanche climates) refer primarily to continentality, or the dista...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.40.pdf
Keywords: wet avalanches, latitude, snow climate, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Role of Synoptic Atmospheric Conditions in the Formation and Distribution of Surface Hoar
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Lauren Yokley, Jordy Hendrikx, Karl Birkeland, Kaj Williams, Tom Leonard
Description: Surface hoar (SH) crystals, once buried, often result in a persistent weak layer within the snowpack that contributes to instability on slopes in the ...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P1.50.pdf
Keywords: surface hoar, synoptic approach, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Assessing the Importance of Terrain Parameters on Glide Avalanche Release
Date: 2014-09-29
Authors: Erich H. Peitzsch, Jordy Hendrikx, Daniel B. Fagre
Description: Glide snow avalanches are dangerous and difficult to predict. Despite recent research there is still a lack of understanding regarding the controls of...
Object ID: ISSW14_paper_P2.19.pdf
Keywords: avalanches; avalanche forecasting; glide; glacier national park, montana
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