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Your search for Keyword "forecasting"resulted in 550 records.

Title: Forecasting the Fatal Longyearbyen Avalanche. Possibilities and Challenges
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Christian Jaedicke, Erik Hestnes, Steinar Bakkehøi, Torgeir Mørk, Kjetil Brattlien
Description: One of the main questions after the fatal avalanche in Longyearbyen in December 2015, where two persons perished and eleven houses were destroyed, was...
Object ID: ISSW16_O16.04.pdf
Keywords: avalanche accident, forecasting, storm weather, wind measurements
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Title: Observer Independent Measures of Snow Instability
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Benjamin Reuter, Jürg Schweizer, Alec van Herwijnen
Description: Observer independent measures of snow instability are a prerequisite for modeling, verifying and improving avalanche forecasts. However, presently no ...
Object ID: ISSW16_O17.02.pdf
Keywords: snow instability, avalanche forecasting, snow micro-penetrometer, avalanche initiation, crack propagation, tensile strength, finite element modeling
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Title: The Establishment of the First Public Avalanche Forecasting Service in Sweden
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Per-Olov Wikberg, Petter Palmgren
Description: Sweden started in 2015 the establishment of its first public avalanche forecasting service. The establishment of the service was initiated by the Swed...
Object ID: ISSW16_O18.03.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, swedish environmental protection agency (sepa)
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Title: North American Avalanche Danger Scale: Are Public Backcountry Forecasters Applying it Consistently?
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Brian Lazar, Simon Trautman, Mike Cooperstein, Ethan Greene, Karl Birkeland
Description: The North American Avalanche Danger Scale is a tool used by backcountry avalanche forecasters to communicate the potential for avalanches to cause har...
Object ID: ISSW16_O20.01.pdf
Keywords: avalanche danger scale, avalanche danger ratings, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Variations in Individual Danger Level Estimates Within the Same Forecast Region
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Frank Techel, Lukas Dürr, Jürg Schweizer
Description: Forecasters in many public avalanche forecast operations rely on field observations and danger (or stability) assessments by experienced and well-trai...
Object ID: ISSW16_O20.02.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, avalanche danger level, observer-specific bias
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Title: Combining the Conceptual Model of Avalanche Hazard With the Bavarian Matrix
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Karsten Müller, Christoph Mitterer, Rune V. Engeset, Ragnar Ekker, Solveig Ø. Kosberg
Description: The European Avalanche Danger Scale provides definitions for each of the five danger levels. However, some terms used in the scale are not fully defin...
Object ID: ISSW16_O20.03.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, bavarian matrix, conceptual model of avalanche hazard, eaws
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Title: Deep Slab Instability: Loading and Settlement Rate Thresholds Related to Failure – Part II
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Patrick J. Wright, Bob Comey, Chris McCollister, Mike Rheam
Description: Deep slab avalanches, which tend to be large and destructive, remain a challenge to accurately forecast. Using 42 seasons of historical data from Jack...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.08.pdf
Keywords: deep slab, persistent slab, settlement, loading, avalanche forecasting
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Title: Infrasound Detection of Avalanches in Grasdalen and Indreeidsdalen, Norway
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Tore Humstad, Ørjan Søderblom, Giacomo Ulivieri, Stian Langeland, Halgeir Dahle
Description: Infrasound technology for detection of snow avalanches has been tested in mountainous terrain in Norway over the two last winter seasons. Two valleys,...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.25.pdf
Keywords: infrasound, avalanche detection, forecasting, ida
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Title: Utilisation of the SM4 Automatic Snowpack Sensor in Avalanche Forecasting
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Harpa Grimsdottir, Orn Ingolfsson, Magni H. Jonsson, Vidir Arnarson, Halfdan Ingolfsson, Sveinn Brynjolfsson, Gestur Hansson
Description: A small innovation company in Iceland, POLS Engineering, has developed the SM4 automatic snowpack sensor that is currently installed at over 30 locati...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.30.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snow sensor, automatic warnings, snow crystals, snow depth, facets
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Title: Deriving Mean Snow Depth in Complex Terrain From Flat Field Measurements
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Nora Helbig, Alec van Herwijnen, Tobias Jonas
Description: Snow depth is an important parameter for various applications, including hydrological and avalanche forecasting. Various measurement networks were the...
Object ID: ISSW16_P1.46.pdf
Keywords: mean snow depth, avalanche forecasting, meteorological models, subgrid parameterization
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Title: Using Crowd-Sourced Data to Understand Usage Patterns of Backcountry Recreational Users
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Ryan Buhler, James Floyer
Description: Avalanche Canada's Mountain Information Network (MIN) is an online platform that allows users to share real-time information with the backcountry comm...
Object ID: ISSW16_P2.21.pdf
Keywords: public forecasting, crowdsourcing, travel behavior, terrain use, avalanche danger index
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Title: Modernizing North America's Oldest Avalanche Program in Little Cotttonwood Canyon, Utah
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Bill Nalli
Description: The combination of abundant snowfall, narrow roadway with many avalanche paths, dozens of threatened buildings, and large backcountry touring communit...
Object ID: ISSW16_P2.33.pdf
Keywords: highway avalanche program, avalanche forecasting, decision matrix, risk management
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Title: The Norwegian Avalanche Observer Corps: Safety, Quality, Training, Procedures and Culture
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Markus Landrø, Rune Engeset, Andreas Haslestad, Jostein Aasen, Knut I. Orset
Description: Field observers are crucial to secure a steady flow of high quality observations from the field, which is necessary to provide a reliable avalanche fo...
Object ID: ISSW16_P2.50.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, observer training, safety
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Title: Five Seasons of Detailed Surface Hoar Observations: What Have We Learned?
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Jordy Hendrikx, Tom Leonard
Description: Since the start of the 2011-12 season the Yellowstone Club Ski Patrol have diligently been collecting detailed observations of surface hoar (SH) prese...
Object ID: ISSW16_P3.07.pdf
Keywords: spatial variability, surface hoar, synoptic approach, forecasting
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Title: Reviewing the Prescott College Avalanche Forecasting Course: Past, Present, and Future
Date: 2016-10-02
Authors: Alyssa Young, Philip Straub
Description: Prescott College's Avalanche Forecasting course is a three-week, 4 credit-hour field course focusing on snow science and avalanche forecasting for bac...
Object ID: ISSW16_P3.37.pdf
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, avalanche education, aaa level 2, prescott college
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