Item: Analysis of process oriented avalanche forecasting technique followed at sase, manali, india
Title: Analysis of process oriented avalanche forecasting technique followed at sase, manali, india
Proceedings: Proceedings of the 1998 International Snow Science Workshop, Sunriver, Oregon
Authors: A.Ganju, OK Prashar, Naresh Thakur
Abstract: Avalanche forecasting technique followed at SASE has evolved with experience, knowledge and science. Starting with the simplistic approach of snowfall related avalanche events; the scientists at SASE experimented with contributory factor approach and statistical approach of forecasting avalanches. Gradually with the experience and knowledge, an integrated process oriented approach was adopted. Avalanche forecasting using expert system is yet to be evolved at SASE. The paper describes the semi-quantitative process oriented approach experimented on a road axis in Kashmir and discusses its strength and weakness.
Keywords: avalanche forecasting, snowfall, modeling
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