Item: Time series models for avalanche hazard evaluation
Title: Time series models for avalanche hazard evaluation
Proceedings: Proceedings of the 1976 International Snow Science Workshop, Banff, Alberta
Authors: A.A. Salway and J.S. Moyse
Abstract: Avalanche hazard evaluation by field analysts mainly involves the recognition of particular combinations of meteorological factors which have resulted in certain levels of avalanche activity in the past. The success of this approach depends to a large extent on the interpretive skill and experience of the analyst in his own particular area. Most of the past data, which forms the basis of the analyst's experience, is of either a numerical nature or can be coded numerically. In principle, it should, therefore, be possible to quantify the field approach by the development of mathematical models, based on this past data. Such models could then be used to predict levels of avalanche activity with an accuracy comparable to that of the field analyst.
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Keywords: avalanche activity, hazard, time series
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